Reasoning about Uncertainty

This book guides you through formal systems useful for reasoning about uncertainty. If you've ever wondered about the rationale for probability theory or for ways to overcome its limitation, this is the book for you.The author made an effort to make the book as self-contained as possible (a remarkable achievement given what it covers), so this book is very clear. The examples are short, but illuminating and motivating, so this book is interesting. The author always tries to justify why the axioms of a theory were chosen a certain way, so this book is insightful.Even if you have just a passing interest in probability theory, I highly recommend this book. It will not only give you reasons for the definitions in probability theory, but also powerful alternative (and often complementary) ways of reasoning about uncertainty.